(V.I. Consortium) Colorado State University now expects a total of 15 named storms and eight hurricanes in the Atlantic basin this year. Three of the eight hurricanes are forecast to be Category 3 or stronger on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale.
Three months ago, CSU had predicted that 11 named storms would become hurricanes, with two likely to reach major hurricane status. On June 1 the forecast changed again, with CSU predicting 14 named storms and six hurricanes.
The latest updated forecast is above the 30-year historical average (1981-2010) for the Atlantic Basin of 12 named storms, six hurricanes and three major hurricanes.
Warm water temperatures in the tropical and subtropical Atlantic Ocean along with the dwindling chance of El Niño’s development later this summer, are contributing factors to CSU’s updated forecast predicting more storms.